Survivor pools are fun, and they seem easy, but it’s actually very hard to last longer than a few weeks. For those who have never done a survivor pool, the rules are simple. Each week you pick one team to win outright -- usually, survivor pools do not use spreads. Once you’ve picked that team, they’re unavailable to you for the rest of the season.
These are three picks that will keep you alive.
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The Sure Thing: SEAHAWKS over 49ers
The Cardinals surprised Seattle by winning in their house with the vaunted 12th Man making a ton of noise, but that just means bad news for San Francisco. Coming off a bye means little with first-year coach Jim Tomsula stalking the sidelines, and the Niners simply don’t have the horses to keep up with Seattle.
The Seahawks must win this game, they’re at home, and the 49ers are ill-equipped to cover tight ends, which means be on the lookout for a breakout game from Jimmy Graham (hallelujah!). This is a get-right game for Seattle, who, at 4-5, needs to get on track and play well down the stretch. This is the week the world remembers why Blaine Gabbert is considered one of the worst busts in NFL Draft history.
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The Next Best Thing: Cowboys over DOLPHINS
Riding two-win teams in a survivor pool in Week 11 is usually ill-advised, but most two-win teams aren’t getting Pro Bowl-caliber QBs back in their lineups. Tony Romo returns this week to a Cowboys team that unbelievably can still make a run for the NFC East title. The offensive line is intact and Dez Bryant is in the lineup as well, so Romo should slide right back in seamlessly.
He’s up against a Miami defense that poses very little threat. Dallas’ O-line can handle Ndamukong Suh with extra attention, and there aren’t any scary edge rushers to be concerned about with Cameron Wake done for the year. Miami’s offense can be explosive at times, but Dallas’ defense isn’t terrible.
If You Want To Get Cute: TITANS over Jaguars
The Jaguars, believe it or not, have the second best run defense in the NFL per FootballOutsiders.com. They also have the 29th-best (a.k.a. third-worst) pass defense in the NFL. That’s bad news on a short week against the Titans, who have proven they stink at running the football, but are occasionally deadly through the air. When they protect rookie QB Marcus Mariota, he has shown he can make good decisions and accurate throws for big plays. Twice this year he has thrown four touchdown passes. This is not a good matchup for the Jags.
On Jacksonville’s side of things, the timing of the game is poor. Tennessee struggles vs. the run, but T.J. Yeldon is banged up and won’t have ample time to get back to full-speed. Even if he plays, expect him to be less than himself, putting Jacksonville behind the eight-ball. Neither team is very good so this is a risky proposition, but the situation is in the Titans’ favor, and you most likely used up your juggernauts already.
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