Las Vegas oddsmakers were not moved by Jacob deGrom’s gutsy performance in Game 5 of the NLDS, in which he stranded runners in each of the first five innings of a 3-2 win over the Dodgers. Of the four remaining teams in the MLB playoffs, the Mets are +500 to win the World Series, giving them the worst odds of the bunch.
At the top, the Cubs, the Mets’ opponent in the NLCS, and the Blue Jays are both +175. The Royals’ odds are +350.
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In an interesting twist, both teams with home field advantage in the NLCS and ALCS, the Mets and Royals, are underdogs in their series. This has a lot to do with the pitching matchups. By going to Game 5 with the Dodgers, the Mets were forced to deploy deGrom, and now will start Matt Harvey in Game 1 at Citi Field. deGrom will not be able to pitch until Game 3 of the NLCS, and Harvey’s innings limitations complicate every decision Mets manager Terry Collins has to make.
Likewise, the Royals rode Johnny Cueto’s dominant outing in Game 5 of the ALDS a day earlier against the Astros. He won’t be available until Game 3 either, whereas Toronto will be able to throw left-handed ace David Price in Game 2, and have him available for a second outing later in the series if need be.
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The pitching situation is especially difficult for the Mets, because of the format of the NLCS. With Games 3-5 being played at Wrigley Field, it is important for the Mets to take care of business at home, but they will be up against Chicago’s one-two punch of Jon Lester and Jake Arrieta.
Or maybe none of this matters, and the Cubs are the favorites because the people setting the line are huge “Back to the Future” fans.
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