Betting NFL football is not easy, but if you narrow your focus, there is success to be had. Check out these three Sports World News best bets against the spread, and why they make total sense.
Point spreads are courtesy of Pregame.com. Home teams are in CAPS.
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VIKINGS (-2.5) over Lions
According to Pregame.com, 87 percent of the betting action is on the Lions to cover this spread, and 83 percent of bettors are backing Detroit on the moneyline (to win outright). This reeks of an overreaction to last week’s putrid performance by the Vikings on Monday Night Football against the 49ers, in which RB Adrian Peterson did nothing and they let Carlos Hyde run for almost 170 yards.
Minnesota is home this week, however, and they can’t possibly play worse. Peterson received less than a full workload, and he also needed to acclimate himself to more shotgun rushing attempts. QB Teddy Bridgewater also looked very unsettled, which should sort itself out somewhat by Sunday.
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Then you have the Lions, who jumped out to a 21-3 lead on the Chargers before completely blowing it. This isn’t last year’s vaunted defense. DTs Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley are gone, meaning Peterson has a chance to run wild. LB DeAndre Levy isn’t practicing; that’s a huge deal, although most people won’t know it since he doesn’t play a skill position. This is an easy one.
Cowboys (+5.5) over EAGLES
The Eagles had a very impressive second half against the Falcons on Monday night, giving a glimpse of what most predicted from them before they took the field. Sam Bradford was accurate, DeMarco Murray looked effective punching the ball into the end zone, and WR Jordan Matthews played well.
Defensively, Philadelphia isn’t there yet though, and that’s why even though they will probably win against the Cowboys, they shouldn’t be giving so many points. Sure the passing game for Dallas looks bleak without star wide receiver Dez Bryant, but QB Tony Romo has an elite offensive line in front of him that will keep him safe. Look at the drive Romo led to put the Cowboys ahead of the Giants on his final drive in Week 1.
Romo was unmolested in the pocket, and easily found RB Lance Dunbar for big plays, as well as TE Jason Witten. If he has time, it’s inevitable his guys will be open. And the Cowboys have enough depth to chew clock in the running game, where Joseph Randle and Darren McFadden looked fine.
Many will view this as a revenge game for Murray, without Bryant on the other side. The smart view is looking at comparable offenses, with Dallas boasting the superior offensive line. Win or lose, this rivalry game shouldn’t be decided by more than three points.
BEARS (+1) over Cardinals
This game is a trap. The Cardinals took out the Saints last week, who are 10-point favorites this week against the Buccaneers. 87 percent of the action is on the Cards per Pregame.com, yet the line shifted in Chicago’s favor by a half-point from when it opened. The perception of the Cardinals is that they’re a very good team with an elite defense, but if that were the case, why such small favorites over turnover-prone QB Jay Cutler?
It’s a trap!
Do not fall in, and do not bet a decent NFL team (Da Bears) to drop two straight home games to open their season.
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