Week 11 NFL Picks: SPREADS & PREDICTIONS; Andrew Luck & The Colts To Outplay Tom Brady And The Patriots?

All betting lines are according to Vegas Insider and are current as of this writing. Home teams are listed in all caps.

MIAMI (-6) over Buffalo: Despite a close loss to the Lions, Miami is playing at a really high level over the past month.

CLEVELAND (-3) over Houston: Ryan Mallet makes his first career start on the road Sunday, and it will not go well for him.

Minnesota (+3) over CHICAGO: Chicago's defense scares nobody, their offense is misfiring, and they have underwhelmed all season long at home. Minnesota will probably win this game outright.

GREEN BAY (-6) over Philadelphia: The Sanchize-led Eagles looked great on Monday night, but that was against the Panthers. Aaron Rodgers has been lighting opposing defense on fire all season, and that trend figures to continue on Sunday.

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KANSAS CITY (-1.5) over Seattle: Kansas City is better than people think, and Seattle is not the same team away from the nest.

CAROLINA (-1.5) over Atlanta: These teams are terrible, but somebody has to win this game.

NEW ORLEANS (-7) over Cincinnati: The Saints do not lose consecutive games at home, and they are just playing better football than Cincinnati right now.

Tampa Bay (+7) over WASHINGTON: Washington should win this game, but I am not convinced they deserve a line this high.

Denver (-9.5) over ST. LOUIS: St. Louis reinstated Shaun Hill as the starter! *crickets chirping*

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San Francisco (-4) over NEW YORK GIANTS: The Giants have lost four straight, and the 49ers rediscovered their running game against New Orleans last week.

Oakland (+10) over SAN DIEGO: Oakland nearly won this matchup at home. I expect them to cover on the road against a struggling San Diego team.

Detroit (+2) over ARIZONA: I expect the Detroit defense to harass Drew Stanton all day and prevent Arizona from generating much offense.

INDIANAPOLIS (-3) over New England: Tom Brady has been otherworldly, and Gronk is back, but this game will be different than last year's playoff matchup. Andrew the Giant will authoritatively prove that he is as good as anyone in the NFL.

Pittsburgh (-6) over TENNESSEE: The stink bomb against the Jets notwithstanding, it looks pretty clear that Pittsburgh is much better than Tennessee.

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