With the UConn Huskies and Alabama Crimson Tide set to square off in the NCAA Tournament Final Four, it's time to see if there's any value on the board when it comes to player props.
The NCAA Tournament is one of the most exciting times of the year in sports betting, and player props are a great way to find value and enhance your viewing experience.
Here are three player props to target when Alabama and Connecticut square off in the desert on Saturday night.
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Final Four Player Prop: Alabama G Mark Sears Over 2.5 Three-Pointers -115
We're going to be playing toward the game script with this one. Alabama is going to try to maximize the amount of possessions in the game, and they're likely to be trailing, meaning Mark Sears will be firing away from long range to keep pace with UConn's scoring.
Mark Sears has been crushing this number on Alabama's NCAA Tournament run. He hit seven against Clemson, two against North Carolina, five against Grand Canyon, and three against Charleston, so he's gone over in three of four (twice easily) in situations where the game script wasn't quite as favorable.
We like this number for one of the nation's best shooters to find a rhythm on a night his team will need him to be firing and making from three-point range.
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Final Four Player Prop: UConn C Donovan Clingan Over 9.5 Rebounds -140
Sticking with the high-possession theme, we like Donovan Clingan to have a strong night on the glass against the Crimson Tide.
More possessions means more shots, which means more misses and more opportunities for Donovan Clingan to clean up. The Tide may be shooting from three a lot, but when they do attack the rim, look for Clingan to affect shots and be there to grab the boards on the occasions those are missed.
Donavan Clingan is 2-2 to this number so far this tournament, but those two overs came against Northwestern and Illinois, and he didn't really play enough minutes against Stetson in the first round to hit it anyway. Look for the future NBA first-rounder to dominate the interior and get the job done.
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Final Four Player Prop: UConn G Cam Spencer Over 4.5 Assists +130
We're going to stay away from Cam Spencer's point and three-point totals and look at his assists. We think the tempo of the game will help this one in two ways, as Alabama's pace will give UConn more possessions, but UConn will likely try to slow Alabama's defense into defending its intricate half-court sets.
That means Cam Spencer likely won't be spotting up in transition as often, which should place him in more of a distributive role than a scoring role.
Look for Spencer to feed Clingan or toss the extra pass to Alex Karaban or Tristen Newton to help the Huskies put up their points.
We think the extra possessions and likely plan for UConn on offense make this play a great value at plus money, as Spencer has gone over this number at over a 50% rate recently, hitting it in five of the last nine games. That's too good of value to pass up in this spot.
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